Monday’s contest at PETCO Park has the San Diego Padres (41-41) squaring off against the Washington Nationals (38-39) at 9:40 PM ET (on June 24). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Padres, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Padres vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Padres vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Padres vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Padres vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -218 +180 8.5 -105 -115

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Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has won 25, or 52.1%, of the 48 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Padres have been victorious two times in five chances when named as a favorite of at least -218 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 42 of 82 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Padres went 6-3 across the nine games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), San Diego combined with its opponents to go over the run total nine times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been the moneyline underdog 65 total times this season. It has finished 30-35 in those games.
  • The Nationals are 3-6 (winning only 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer.
  • Washington has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times this season for a 34-39-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.

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Padres vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Matt Waldron

  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 3.46, a 3.04 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.164.
  • Matt Waldron’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-4).
  • Waldron’s team has won six of his 15 starts this season.
  • In games Waldron has started this season, the teams are 3-11-1 at hitting the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin

  • In 15 games this season, the 34-year-old has put up a 5.60 ERA and 6.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .307 to his opponents.
  • The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 15 of Corbin’s starts this season, and they went 5-10 in those matchups.
  • Corbin’s team has won five of his 15 starts.
  • Corbin’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 15 games with a set total this season.

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Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 41-41
Home 21-22
Road 20-19
One-Run Games 9-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-4

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-39
Home 17-19
Road 21-20
One-Run Games 7-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-7

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