A pair of the WNBA’s top scorers match up — Napheesa Collier (fourth, 20.7 points per game) and Kahleah Copper (third, 23.5) — when the Minnesota Lynx (12-3) host the Phoenix Mercury (8-7) on June 22, 2024 on NBA TV, BSN, AZFamily, and Mercury Live.

Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, check out the best bets available for Saturday’s game according to our computer predictions.

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Spread: Lynx (+5.5) to Cover

  • Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Lynx winning by a considerably greater margin (12 points). Take the Lynx.
  • So far this season, the Lynx have compiled an 11-4-0 record against the spread.
  • Minnesota has a 4-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.
  • The Mercury’s ATS record is 10-5-0 this year.
  • Phoenix is 4-2 against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year.

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Total: Over 160.5

  • In this game, the model projects a total (164.5 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (160.5 points).
  • Lynx games have gone over 160.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, eight times (out of 15) this season.
  • This year, 11 of Phoenix’s 15 games have had a combined total higher than 160.5 points scored.
  • The teams have hit the over in six of the Lynx’s 15 games with a set total.
  • The Mercury have gone over in seven of their 15 games with a set total (46.7%).

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Moneyline Winner: Lynx (-227)

  • Prediction: Lynx 88, Mercury 76
  • Minnesota has won seven of the eight games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (87.5%).

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Lynx Leaders

  • Collier leads the Lynx in scoring and rebounding, accumulating 20.7 points and 10.1 boards per game.
  • Courtney Williams leads Minnesota in assists, averaging 5.6 per game while also scoring 10.3 points per contest.
  • Kayla McBride makes more threes per game than any other member of the Lynx, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.4 per contest.
  • Collier is Minnesota’s leader in steals, averaging 2.4 steals per game, while Alanna Smith leads them in blocks with 1.9 per contest.

Lynx Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Diamond Miller Out Knee

Mercury Leaders

  • Copper is the top scorer for the Mercury with 23.5 points per game. She also adds 4.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game to her stats.
  • Phoenix’s leader in rebounds is Natasha Mack with 5.7 per game, and its leader in assists is Natasha Cloud with 7.3 per game.
  • Diana Taurasi knocks down 2.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
  • Phoenix’s leader in steals is Cloud (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Mack (1.8 per game).

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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