Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (7-7) face Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (12-2) on June 18, 2024 at Footprint Center on CBS Sports Network, AZFamily, and Mercury Live.

If you are trying to gain an edge on Tuesday’s game, see the best bets available for this matchup, in the article below (based on our computer predictions).

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Spread: Mercury (+6) to Cover

• The model and DraftKings both have the Liberty taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (5.1 points). Lean towards taking the Mercury.
• The Mercury are 9-5-0 ATS this year.
• Phoenix has a 3-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 6 points or more this year.
• The Liberty have a 6-8-0 record against the spread this season.
• New York is 4-8 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 168

• In this matchup, the model projects a total (165 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (168 points).
• The Liberty have played seven games with over 168 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, this year.
• Phoenix’s games have gone over 168 total points scored in six of 14 total matchups this season.
• The Liberty have gone over in seven of their 14 games with a set total (50%).
• Mercury games have hit the over in six out of 14 opportunities (42.9%).

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Moneyline Winner: Liberty (-250)

• Prediction: Liberty 85, Mercury 80
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 10 times this season and won four of those games.

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Liberty Leaders

• The Liberty leader in points and rebounds is Stewart, who scores 18.6 points and grabs 9.6 boards per game.
• New York’s best passer is Sabrina Ionescu, who averages 5.9 assists per game to go with her 17.6 PPG scoring average.
• Ionescu makes more threes per game than any other member of the Liberty, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.
• The New York steals leader is Stewart, who averages 1.9 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Jonquel Jones, who compiles 1.5 rejections per contest.

Mercury Leaders

• Copper is the top scorer for the Mercury with 24 points per game. She also tacks on 4.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game to her scoring output.
• The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Natasha Mack with 6.1 rebounds per game (she also adds 4.1 points and 1.6 assists per game) and Natasha Cloud with 7.5 assists per game (she also tacks on 10.5 points and 4.6 rebounds per game).
• Copper is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Mercury, hitting 2.8 threes per game.
• Phoenix’s leader in steals is Cloud (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Mack (1.9 per game).

Mercury Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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