Sunday’s game between the Washington Nationals (34-36) and Miami Marlins (23-47) matching up at Nationals Park has a projected final score of 5-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Nationals, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 1:35 PM ET on June 16.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Nationals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Nationals -120 +100 8 -115 -105

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Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has been the favorite in seven games this season, and has come away with the win five times (71.4%) in those contests.
  • The Nationals have been a -120 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of 70 opportunities.
  • The Nationals went 2-1 over the three games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Washington and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has been the underdog on the moneyline 55 total times this season. It has gone 20-35 in those games.
  • The Marlins are 19-33 (winning only 36.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
  • Miami has played in 70 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-32-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Mitchell Parker

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.21 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .225 in 11 games this season.
  • Mitchell Parker’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Parker’s team has won six of his 11 starts.
  • In games Parker has started this season, the teams are 6-5-0 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Jesús Luzardo

  • During 11 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 5.11 ERA and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .242 to opposing batters.
  • The Marlins are 4-5 in Luzardo’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Luzardo’s team is 4-7 in his 11 starts.
  • Jesus Luzardo has had 11 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.

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Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-36
Home 15-17
Road 19-19
One-Run Games 6-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-6

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 23-47
Home 12-25
Road 11-22
One-Run Games 9-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 13-8

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