Saturday’s game between the New York Mets (30-37) and the San Diego Padres (37-35) at Citi Field is expected to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Mets securing the victory. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on June 15.

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Mets vs. Padres Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Padres Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Padres Betting Lines

Mets vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -120 +100 8.5 -112 -108

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 17 wins in the 33 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 13-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of 67 opportunities.
  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite in seven of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to go over the total seven times.

Padres Betting Insights

  • San Diego has won 50% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (14-14).
  • The Padres are 9-10 (winning 47.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
  • In the 72 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for San Diego, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-35-1).
  • The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Padres Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

  • The 35-year-old has pitched to a 5.29 ERA this season with 6.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.1 walks per nine across 13 games.
  • Jose Quintana’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
  • Quintana’s team has won six of his 13 starts this season.
  • In Quintana’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Adam Mazur

  • Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .294 against him this season. He has a 9.00 ERA and 4.0 strikeouts per nine innings over his two games.
  • The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for one Adam Mazur start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Mazur’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 30-37
Home 15-23
Road 15-14
One-Run Games 14-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-11

Padres’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-35
Home 18-21
Road 19-14
One-Run Games 8-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-3

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