The Boston Celtics are 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the NBA Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics hold a 3-0 series lead.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

• Date: Friday, June 14, 2024
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• How to Watch on TV: ABC
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Venue: American Airlines Center

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Celtics 117 – Mavericks 111

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Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Celtics (- 1.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-5.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (211.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 227.7

• The Celtics have had less success against the spread than the Mavericks this season, recording an ATS record of 43-39-0, compared to the 48-34-0 mark of the Mavs.
• Boston covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 53.2% of the time. That’s more often than Dallas covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (46.7%).
• Boston’s games have gone over the total 53.7% of the time this season (44 out of 82), which is more often than Dallas’ games have (36 out of 82).
• As a moneyline favorite this season, the Celtics are 62-16, a better record than the Mavericks have put up (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

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Celtics Performance Insights

• The Celtics have been shining both offensively and defensively this year, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (120.6) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.2).
• Boston is top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 46.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 14th with 43.3 rebounds allowed per contest.
• The Celtics rank 14th in the NBA with 26.9 dimes per contest.
• Although Boston is forcing 11.3 turnovers per game (worst in NBA), it ranks best in the league by committing only 11.3 turnovers per contest.
• The Celtics have been getting things done when it comes to three-point shooting this season, ranking best in the NBA in threes per game (16.5) and second-best in three-point percentage (38.8%).

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Mavericks Performance Insights

• With 117.9 points scored per game and 115.6 points allowed, the Mavericks are seventh in the league offensively and 20th defensively.
• In 2023-24, Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).
• The Mavericks are 19th in the NBA in assists (25.7 per game) in 2023-24.
• Dallas commits 12.1 turnovers per game and force 13 per game, ranking seventh and 15th, respectively, in the league.
• The Mavericks are the third-best team in the league in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and 13th in 3-point percentage (36.9%).

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