Predictions for Red Sox vs. Phillies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 13
Thursday’s contest at Fenway Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (46-20) taking on the Boston Red Sox (33-34) at 7:10 PM ET (on June 13). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 4-3 win for the Phillies, so it should be a competitive matchup.
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Red Sox vs. Phillies Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, June 13, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Phillies Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Red Sox 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Red Sox vs. Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUSH | -110 | -110 | 8.5 | -103 | -125 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has come away with 19 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Red Sox have been victorious 19 times in 36 chances when named as a favorite of at least -110 or better on the moneyline.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of 67 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox had a 6-4 record in the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has gone 5-4 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -110 or longer, the Phillies have a 5-4 record (winning 55.6% of their games).
- Philadelphia has played in 66 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 27 times (27-35-4).
- In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over two times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Red Sox vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck
- The 27-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with a 1.91 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .200.
- Tanner Houck’s team has a record of 7-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Houck has started, his team is 8-5.
- Games Houck has started this season hit the over four times in 13 chances.
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- In 13 games this season, the 31-year-old has a 2.77 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .195 to his opponents.
- The Phillies were the moneyline underdog for one Aaron Nola start this season — they lost.
- Nola’s team has won 11 of his 13 starts.
- Nola has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings hit the over.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 33-34 |
| Home | 14-19 |
| Road | 19-15 |
| One-Run Games | 7-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 26-4 |
Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 46-20 |
| Home | 27-10 |
| Road | 19-10 |
| One-Run Games | 11-8 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 32-4 |
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