Two of the league’s best scorers face off — A’ja Wilson (first, 28.3 points per game) and Kahleah Copper (third, 24.0) — when the Las Vegas Aces (5-5) visit the Phoenix Mercury (6-6) on June 13, 2024 on Prime Video, AZFamily, Mercury Live, and Silver State Sports & Entertainment Network.

If you are trying to gain an edge on Thursday’s game, dig into the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (according to our computer predictions).

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Spread: Mercury (+5.5) to Cover

• The model line is much more favorable to the Mercury compared to the DraftKings line, a 7.1 point difference, and has them favored to win Thursday’s game outright. Put your money on the Mercury.
• The Mercury are 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
• In games this season in which it was an underdog by 5.5 points or more, Phoenix has a 3-2 record against the spread.
• So far this season, the Aces have compiled a 3-7-0 record against the spread.
• In games it has played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, Las Vegas is 2-7 against the spread.

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Total: Under 167.5

• DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this contest, within 0.3 points of each other.
• Of 10 games so far this season, the Aces have had seven with over 167.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
• Phoenix’s games have gone over 167.5 total points scored in five of 12 total matchups this year.
• Aces games have hit the over in six out of 12 opportunities (50%).
• The Mercury have gone over in five of their 12 games with a set total (41.7%).

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (+200)

• Prediction: Mercury 84, Aces 83
• Phoenix has been the underdog in eight games this season and won three (37.5%) of those contests.

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Aces Leaders

• Wilson leads the Aces in scoring and rebounding, tallying 28.3 points and 11.4 rebounds per game.
• Jackie Young is Las Vegas’ best passer, distributing 6.7 assists per game while scoring 16.9 PPG.
• Kelsey Plum leads the Aces in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.
• Wilson is Las Vegas’ leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.9 steals and 2.7 blocks per game.

Aces Injuries

Mercury Leaders

• Copper is the top scorer for the Mercury with 24.0 points per game. She also adds 4.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game to her stats.
• The Phoenix leaders in rebounding and assists are Natasha Mack with 6.8 rebounds per game (she also adds 4.1 points and 1.8 assists per game) and Natasha Cloud with 7.6 assists per game (she also tacks on 11.3 points and 4.8 rebounds per game).
• Copper makes 2.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mercury.
• Cloud (1.8 steals per game) is the steal leader for Phoenix while Mack (2.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Mercury Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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