Wednesday’s contest at Citi Field has the New York Mets (28-37) going head to head against the Miami Marlins (23-43) at 7:10 PM ET (on June 12). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 win for the Mets, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -155 +130 7.5 -115 -105

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by -155 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 33 of 65 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 3-3 over the six games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 39.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (20-31).
  • The Marlins have a record of 7-15 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (31.8%).
  • Miami has played in 66 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-30-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 14 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times.

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Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • He has pitched to a 3.09 ERA this season with 3.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across two games.
  • David Peterson’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Peterson’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Peterson this season, the teams hit the over once.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Braxton Garrett

  • The 26-year-old has a 5.81 ERA and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings during five games this season, while giving up a batting average of .267 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins are 4-1 in Garrett’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Garrett’s team is 4-1 over his five starts.
  • Braxton Garrett has started five games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 28-37
Home 13-23
Road 15-14
One-Run Games 13-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-11

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 23-43
Home 12-25
Road 11-18
One-Run Games 9-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 13-8

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