Predictions for Phillies vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 11
Tuesday’s contest at Fenway Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (45-20) going head to head against the Boston Red Sox (33-33) at 7:10 PM ET (on June 11). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 victory for the Phillies, so it should be a competitive matchup.
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Phillies vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, June 11, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -155 | +130 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been the favorite in 56 games this season, and has come away with the win 40 times (71.4%) in those contests.
- The Phillies have a win-loss record of 29-10 when favored by -155 or better by bookmakers this year.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of 65 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies had a 9-5 record over the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has won 46.7% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (14-16).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer, the Red Sox have gone 2-6 (25%).
- Boston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 66 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 29 of those games (29-32-5).
- The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 1-3 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents are 9-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Read More About This Game
- How to Watch Phillies vs. Red Sox – June 11
- Phillies vs. Red Sox Probable Starting Pitching
- Red Sox vs. Phillies Tickets — June 11
Phillies vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler
- The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.23, a 3.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .967 in 13 games this season.
- Zack Wheeler’s team is 7-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Wheeler has started, his team is 7-6.
- Games started by Wheeler have a 4-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.51, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opposing batters have a .229 batting average against him.
- The Red Sox are 1-4 in Crawford’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Crawford’s team has won three of his 13 starts.
- Kutter Crawford has had 13 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those matchups hit the over.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 45-20 |
| Home | 27-10 |
| Road | 18-10 |
| One-Run Games | 11-8 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 32-4 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 33-33 |
| Home | 14-18 |
| Road | 19-15 |
| One-Run Games | 7-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 26-4 |
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