Tuesday’s game at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (39-20) matching up with the Kansas City Royals (36-25) at 6:40 PM ET (on June 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Guardians vs. Royals Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. Royals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Guardians vs. Royals Betting Lines

Guardians vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -115 -105 8 -110 -110

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year, and has walked away with the win 27 times (69.2%) in those games.
  • The Guardians have a mark of 25-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of 59 opportunities.
  • The Guardians had a 10-3 record across the 13 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total seven times (all 15 games had set totals).

Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has compiled an 18-17 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 51.4% of those games).
  • The Royals have a 16-16 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer.
  • Kansas City has played in 61 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-33-2).
  • The Royals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Kansas City and its opponents are 10-5-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Guardians vs. Royals Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Triston McKenzie

  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.77, a 1.59 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.378.
  • When Triston McKenzie starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-3.
  • McKenzie’s team has won eight of his 11 starts.
  • Out of McKenzie’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

  • In 12 games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.72, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .211 against him.
  • The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Lugo’s starts this season, and they went 5-1 in those matchups.
  • Lugo’s team has a 9-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Seth Lugo has had 12 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings hit the over.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-20
Home 20-7
Road 19-13
One-Run Games 11-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-4

Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-25
Home 22-10
Road 14-15
One-Run Games 8-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 21-7

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