The Boston Celtics are 6.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at TD Garden on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, June 6, 2024
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• How to Watch on TV: ABC
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Venue: TD Garden

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Celtics 120 – Mavericks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Celtics (- 6.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-10.9)
• Pick OU:

  Over (214.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.5

• The Mavericks (48-34-0 ATS) have covered the spread 52.4% of the time, 6.1% more often than the Celtics (43-39-0) this year.
• As a 6.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Boston is 32-27 against the spread compared to the 2-6 ATS record Dallas racks up as a 6.5-point underdog.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total 53.7% of the time this season (44 out of 82), which is more often than Dallas’ games have (36 out of 82).
• As a moneyline favorite this year, the Celtics are 62-16, a better record than the Mavericks have put up (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

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Celtics Performance Insights

• It’s been a dominant stretch for the Celtics, who are scoring 120.6 points per game (second-best in NBA) and allowing 109.2 points per contest (fifth-best).
• Boston is top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 46.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 14th with 43.3 rebounds allowed per contest.
• The Celtics are averaging 26.9 dimes per game, which ranks them 14th in the NBA in 2023-24.
• Boston ranks worst in the NBA with 11.3 forced turnovers per game, but it has helped combat that by ranking best in the league by averaging 11.3 turnovers per contest.
• The Celtics are dominating when it comes to three-point shooting, as they rank best in the league in treys (16.5 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from three-point land (38.8%).

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Mavericks Performance Insights

• In 2023-24, the Mavericks are seventh in the NBA on offense (117.9 points scored per game) and 20th defensively (115.6 points allowed).
• Dallas is 21st in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.9) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).
• With 25.7 assists per game, the Mavericks are 19th in the NBA.
• In 2023-24, Dallas is seventh in the league in turnovers committed (12.1 per game) and 15th in turnovers forced (13).
• Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are 13th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%.

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