Predictions for Phillies vs. Cardinals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 31
Friday’s contest at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (39-18) squaring off against the St. Louis Cardinals (27-27) at 6:40 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 victory for the Phillies, who are a small favorite based on our model.
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Phillies vs. Cardinals Matchup Info
- When: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Cardinals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cardinals 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Phillies vs. Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -192 | +160 | 8.5 | +100 | -120 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has won 34, or 70.8%, of the 48 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 14 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 27 of 57 chances this season.
- The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 10-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Cardinals Betting Insights
- St. Louis has won 46.2% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (12-14).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, the Cardinals have a 1-2 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
- St. Louis has played in 53 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 23 times (23-27-3).
- In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 5-3.
- In its past 15 games with a total, St. Louis and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
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Phillies vs. Cardinals Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with a 3.04 ERA and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .210.
- Aaron Nola’s team has been victorious in 90% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-1.
- Nola’s team has won nine of his 11 starts.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 5-5-1 at hitting the over.
Cardinals’ Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- In 11 games this season, the 35-year-old has an ERA of 5.64, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .286 against him.
- The Cardinals are 4-2 in Mikolas’ six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Mikolas’ team is 5-6 over his 11 starts.
- Miles Mikolas has started 11 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 39-18 |
| Home | 22-8 |
| Road | 17-10 |
| One-Run Games | 10-6 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 30-3 |
Cardinals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 27-27 |
| Home | 13-12 |
| Road | 14-15 |
| One-Run Games | 8-6 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 17-4 |
