Friday’s contest at Citizens Bank Park has the Philadelphia Phillies (39-18) squaring off against the St. Louis Cardinals (27-27) at 6:40 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 victory for the Phillies, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Phillies vs. Cardinals Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Cardinals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cardinals 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Phillies vs. Cardinals Betting Lines

Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -192 +160 8.5 +100 -120

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has won 34, or 70.8%, of the 48 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 14 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 27 of 57 chances this season.
  • The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 10-4 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • St. Louis has won 46.2% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (12-14).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, the Cardinals have a 1-2 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
  • St. Louis has played in 53 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 23 times (23-27-3).
  • In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 5-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, St. Louis and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.

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Phillies vs. Cardinals Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with a 3.04 ERA and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .210.
  • Aaron Nola’s team has been victorious in 90% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-1.
  • Nola’s team has won nine of his 11 starts.
  • In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 5-5-1 at hitting the over.

Cardinals’ Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas

  • In 11 games this season, the 35-year-old has an ERA of 5.64, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .286 against him.
  • The Cardinals are 4-2 in Mikolas’ six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Mikolas’ team is 5-6 over his 11 starts.
  • Miles Mikolas has started 11 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-18
Home 22-8
Road 17-10
One-Run Games 10-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-3

Cardinals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 27-27
Home 13-12
Road 14-15
One-Run Games 8-6
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-4

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