Friday’s game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the Baltimore Orioles (35-19) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (28-29) at 7:05 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 win for the Orioles, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Orioles vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Orioles vs. Rays Betting Lines

Orioles vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -148 +124 8.5 -120 +100

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has been chosen as the favorite in 44 games this year, and has walked away with the win 28 times (63.6%) in those games.
  • The Orioles have a mark of 16-9 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of 53 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Baltimore and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times.

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won nine of the 19 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (47.4%).
  • The Rays have a 1-2 record (winning only 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • In the 57 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-28-0).
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.

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Orioles vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Albert Suarez

  • The 34-year-old has an ERA of 1.53 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .192 in 11 games this season.
  • Albert Suarez’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Suarez’s team has a 3-1 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Suarez have a 1-2-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Civale

  • In 11 games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 5.72, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .265 against him.
  • The Rays were the underdog on the moneyline for three Aaron Civale starts this season — they lost each time.
  • In Civale’s 11 starts, his team is 4-7.
  • Civale has had 11 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those matchups finished over the total.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-19
Home 19-11
Road 16-8
One-Run Games 6-7
Scoring 5+ Runs 25-2

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 28-29
Home 17-18
Road 11-11
One-Run Games 11-4
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-4

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