The Connecticut Sun (5-0) welcome in the Phoenix Mercury (3-2) after victories in three home games in a row.

Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Tuesday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.

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Spread: Sun (+7.5) to Cover

• Both DraftKings and the model expect the Sun to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (9.6) is 2.1 points further in their direction.
• The Sun are 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
• Connecticut is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
• The Mercury’s ATS record is 3-2-0 this year.
• Phoenix is 2-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least a 7.5-point underdog.

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Total: Over 164

• The model predicts a total (171.9 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (164 points). Take the over.
• The Sun have played three games with more than 164 points scored, their current matchup’s total, this year.
• This season, four of Phoenix’s five total matchups have gone over 164 total points scored.
• The Sun have gone over in four of their five games with a set total (80%).
• Mercury games have gone over the point total in three out of five opportunities (60%).

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Moneyline Winner: Sun (-310)

• Prediction: Sun 91, Mercury 81
• Connecticut has been favored on the moneyline five times this season, and has won each of those games.

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Sun Leaders

• The Sun leader in rebounds and assists is Alyssa Thomas, who grabs 9.6 rebounds and gives out 7.8 assists per game along with scoring 15.4 points per contest.
• Connecticut’s leading scorer is DeWanna Bonner, who drops 20.6 points a game in addition to her 5.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Tyasha Harris makes more threes per game than any other member of the Sun, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.0 per contest.
• Bonner is Connecticut’s leader in steals, averaging 2.2 steals per game, while Olivia Nelson-Ododa leads them in blocks with 1.0 per contest.

Mercury Leaders

• Kahleah Copper is the top scorer for the Mercury with 29.2 points per game. She also adds 4.0 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game to her scoring output.
• Phoenix’s leader in rebounds is Natasha Mack with 7.2 per game, and its leader in assists is Natasha Cloud with 8.8 per game.
• Diana Taurasi is reliable from deep and leads the Mercury with 3.8 made threes per game.
• Cloud (2.0 steals per game) is the steal leader for Phoenix while Mack (2.4 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Mercury Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.