Napheesa Collier takes the Minnesota Lynx (2-1) into a matchup with the New York Liberty (4-1) after scoring 31 points in an 83-82 loss to the Sun.

Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Saturday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.

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Spread: Lynx (+1.5) to Cover

• Both DraftKings and the model expect the Lynx to walk away with the win, but the model spread (3.3) is 1.8 points further in their direction.
• The Lynx had 20 wins in 36 games against the spread last season.
• Minnesota went 7-7 as a 1.5-point favorite or greater last year.
• The Liberty’s record against the spread last season was 14-26-0.
• New York won twice ATS (2-4) as an underdog of 1.5 points or more last year.

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Total: Over 165.5

• The model projects a total 1.2 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
• The Lynx and their opponent combined to score over 165.5 points, the current matchup’s point total, in 18 of 36 games last season.
• New York’s games went over 165.5 points on 24 occasions last year.
• In 36 Lynx games last year, 20 of them hit the over.
• In 40 Liberty games last year, 24 of them went over the total.

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Moneyline Winner: Lynx (-130)

• Prediction: Lynx 85, Liberty 82
• Last season, New York won three of the seven games in which it was an underdog.

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Lynx Leaders

• Collier tallied 21.5 points and 8.5 boards per game last season.
• Courtney Williams averaged 6.3 assists per game while also scoring 10.4 points per contest.
• Kayla McBride hit an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc a season ago.
• Collier averaged 1.6 steals per game, while Alanna Smith collected 1.3 blocks per contest.

Liberty Leaders

• The Liberty’s leader in scoring and rebounding is Breanna Stewart with 19.4 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.
• Sabrina Ionescu dishes out more assists than any other New York teammate with 6.0 per game. She also scores 16.0 points and pulls down 4.0 rebounds per game.
• Ionescu is the most prolific from deep for the Liberty, hitting 2.0 threes per game.
• Stewart is at the top of the New York steals and blocks leaderboards with 3.0 steals per game and 1.6 blocks per game.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.