Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Western Conference Semifinals Game 7
The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The series is tied 3-3.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Info & Odds
- Date: Sunday, May 19, 2024
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- How to Watch on TV: TNT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Venue: Ball Arena
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Nuggets 111 – Timberwolves 110
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Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Nuggets (-1.0)
- Pick OU:
Over (197.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 220.5
- The Nuggets have been less successful against the spread than the Timberwolves this season, putting up an ATS record of 39-43-0, as opposed to the 41-41-0 mark of the T-Wolves.
- As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Minnesota is 4-5 against the spread compared to the 26-29 ATS record Denver racks up as a 4.5-point favorite.
- Denver’s games have gone over the total 45.1% of the time this season (37 out of 82), less often than Minnesota’s games have (41 out of 82).
- As a moneyline favorite this season, the Nuggets are 52-19, a better record than the Timberwolves have recorded (10-11) as moneyline underdogs.
Nuggets Performance Insights
- The Nuggets are putting up 114.9 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) this year, while giving up 109.6 points per contest (sixth-ranked).
- Denver is pulling down 44.4 rebounds per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked).
- The Nuggets have been tallying plenty of assists in 2023-24, ranking third-best in the NBA with 29.5 dimes per game.
- Although Denver is forcing 11.7 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fourth-best in the league by averaging only 11.8 turnovers per game.
- The Nuggets are sinking 11.7 threes per game (25th-ranked in league). They have a 37.4% shooting percentage (ninth-ranked) from downtown.
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Timberwolves Performance Insights
- On offense, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked squad in the league (113 points per game). Defensively, they are best (106.5 points allowed per game).
- Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.6) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4).
- With 26.6 assists per game, the Timberwolves are 15th in the league.
- In 2023-24, Minnesota is 19th in the NBA in turnovers committed (13.4 per game) and fifth-best in turnovers forced (13.6).
- Beyond the arc, the Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.6). They are third-best in 3-point percentage at 38.7%.
