The Dallas Mavericks are 3.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Center on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Mavericks have a 3-2 series lead.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Venue: American Airlines Center

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Thunder 116 – Mavericks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Mavericks vs. Thunder

• Pick ATS: Thunder (+ 3.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (210.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 230.1

• The Mavericks have had more success against the spread than the Thunder this season, recording an ATS record of 48-34-0, compared to the 47-35-0 record of the Thunder.
• As a 3.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Dallas is 25-15 against the spread compared to the 5-5 ATS record Oklahoma City racks up as a 3.5-point underdog.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have eclipsed the total 56.1% of the time this season (46 out of 82). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (36 out of 82).
• The Mavericks have a .731 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (38-14) this season, higher than the .500 winning percentage for the Thunder as a moneyline underdog (11-11).

Mavericks Performance Insights

• The Mavericks are seventh in the NBA with 117.9 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank 20th with 115.6 points allowed per contest.
• With 42.9 boards per game, Dallas is 21st in the NBA. It cedes 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 dimes per contest.
• With 12.1 turnovers per game, Dallas is seventh in the NBA. It forces 13 turnovers per contest, which ranks 15th in the league.
• The Mavericks rank third-best in the NBA by draining 14.6 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, they rank 13th in the league at 36.9%.

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Thunder Performance Insights

• On offense, the Thunder are the third-best team in the league (120.1 points per game). Defensively, they are 11th (112.7 points conceded per game).
• On the glass, Oklahoma City is fourth-worst in the league in rebounds (42 per game). It is 23rd in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game).
• This season the Thunder are ranked 11th in the league in assists at 27.1 per game.
• Oklahoma City is the fourth-best squad in the league in turnovers per game (11.8) and best in turnovers forced (15).
• In 2023-24 the Thunder are eighth in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.3 per game) and best in 3-point percentage (38.9%).