76ers vs. Heat: NBA Play-In Tournament Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 17, 2024
The Philadelphia 76ers (47-35) host the Miami Heat (46-36) on April 17, 2024 at Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers are favorites by 5.5 points as they enter the matchup winners of eight in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The point total is set as 208 points in the contest.
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76ers vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 76ers | -5.5 | 208 |
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Injury Report as of April 17
76ers: Kai Jones: Out (Hamstring), Montrezl Harrell: Out (Knee), Danuel House: Out (Foot), Kenyon Martin: Questionable (Toe), Robert Covington: Out (Knee), Joel Embiid: Questionable (Knee), De’Anthony Melton: Out (Injury Recovery)
Heat: Terry Rozier: Out (Neck), Duncan Robinson: Probable (Back), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (+5.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (208) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
76ers vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| 76ers Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.6 (15th) | Points Scored | 110.1 (26th) |
| 111.5 (9th) | Points Allowed | 108.4 (3rd) |
| 43 (19th) | Rebounds | 42.3 (25th) |
| 11 (9th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.3 (26th) |
| 12.1 (22nd) | 3pt Made | 12.5 (18th) |
| 24.9 (24th) | Assists | 25.8 (18th) |
| 11.3 (1st) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
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76ers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid | 39 | 34.7 | 11 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Tyrese Maxey | 70 | 25.9 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Tobias Harris | 70 | 17.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 68 | 15.4 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Buddy Hield | 84 | 12.1 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.6 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 42 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.1 |
| Jimmy Butler | 60 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 71 | 19.3 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 68 | 12.9 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 75 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
Betting Trends
- The 76ers’ record against the spread is 48-34-0.
- Philadelphia’s ATS record as 5.5-point favorites or more is 21-10.
- The 76ers have seen 43 of their 82 games hit the over.
- Philadelphia and its opponent have broken the 208-point mark 67 times this season.
- The over/under in this matchup is 208 points, 18.1 fewer than the average total in this season’s 76ers contests.
- The Heat have 40 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
- Miami is 10-5 as a 5.5-point underdog or greater.
- Out of 82 Heat games so far this year, 35 have hit the over.
- There have been 59 Miami’s games this season with more than 208 points scored.
- The average total for Heat games is 218.5 points, 10.5 more than this game’s over/under.
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