Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, October 17, 2023
The Buffalo Sabres are moderate favorites (-125) at home versus the Tampa Bay Lightning (+105) on Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET.
Sabres vs. Lightning Favorite, Moneyline, Total
- Favorite: Sabres (-125)
- Underdog: Lightning (+105)
- Total: 7
Best Sabres vs. Lightning Promo Codes
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How to Watch Sabres vs. Lightning
- Game Day: Tuesday, October 17, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Buffalo, New York
- Arena: KeyBank Center
Sabres 2022-23 Stats & Rankings
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 3.57 | 3rd |
| Goals Allowed | 3.62 | 26th |
| Shots | 32.5 | 10th |
| Shots Allowed | 33 | 26th |
| Power Play % | 23.42% | 9th |
| Penalty Kill % | 73.01% | 28th |
Buffalo Betting Info
- The Sabres won 60.9% of their games last season when they were a moneyline favorite (14-9).
- Buffalo was 11-8 when it played as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter.
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Sabres a 55.6% chance to win.
- Of Buffalo’s 82 games last season, 51 finished above this game’s total of 7 goals.
Sabres Player Props
| Name | Points Prop (Over Payout) | Shots Prop (Over Payout) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | 0.50 (-166) | 2.50 (-125) |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 0.50 (-166) | 2.50 (-110) |
| Dylan Cozens | 0.50 (-120) | 2.50 (+105) |
Lightning 2022-23 Stats & Rankings
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 3.41 | 8th |
| Goals Allowed | 3.07 | 14th |
| Shots | 32 | 12th |
| Shots Allowed | 31.5 | 20th |
| Power Play % | 25.36% | 3rd |
| Penalty Kill % | 79.69% | 15th |
Lightning Betting Info
- The Lightning won seven, or 35.0%, of the 20 games they played as an underdog last season.
- Tampa Bay had a record of 5-9, a 35.7% win rate, when set as an underdog by +105 or more last season.
- The Lightning have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay played 46 games last season that finished with over 7 goals.
Lightning Player Props
| Name | Points Prop (Over Payout) | Shots Prop (Over Payout) |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 1.50 (+100) | 3.50 (+105) |
| Brandon Hagel | 0.50 (-145) | 2.50 (-130) |
| Victor Hedman | 0.50 (-115) | 2.50 (-110) |
Sabres vs. Lightning Injury Report
Sabres:
Jack Quinn: Achilles (Out),
Matthew Savoie: Shoulder (Out)
Lightning:
Andrei Vasilevskiy: Back (Out),
Tyler Motte: Upper Body (Out)
Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction and Pick
We predict the Lightning (+105 on the moneyline) to beat the Sabres (-125 on the moneyline). As for the total, we prefer the under at 7 goals.