Lakers vs. Warriors Prediction: Picks & Betting Odds - Western Conference Finals Game 7

The Golden State Warriors (44-38) will look to top scorer Stephen Curry (29.4 ppg) when they aim to take down the LeBron James-led Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) on May 12, 2023. The Warriors are 3.5-point underdogs against the Lakers. The over/under for the game is 218.5.

Lakers vs. Warriors Odds

Lakers odds to win: -165
Warriors odds to win: +140
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
Total: 218.5

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Game Time and Information

When: Friday, May 12, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
TV: ESPN

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Warriors?

Lakers and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Lakers have a 13-9 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.

The Warriors have a 7-7 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.

Between them, these two teams average 17.6 more points per game (236.1) than this matchup’s over/under (218.5).

Los Angeles and Golden State have seen its opponents average a combined 15.2 more points per game than the point total of 218.5 set for this game.

The average total the Lakers have had in their games this season is 15.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for Golden State this season is 17.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Los Angeles’ ATS record is 40-40-2 this season.

So far this year, the Warriors have compiled a 39-43-0 record against the spread.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers average 117.2 points per game (sixth in the league) while giving up 116.6 per contest (20th in the NBA). They have a +47 scoring differential overall.

The 45.7 rebounds per game the Lakers average rank sixth in the league. Their opponents pull down 44.9 per outing.

Los Angeles knocks down 10.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (12.5). It is shooting 34.6% from deep (24th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.4%.

The Lakers put up 115.2 points per 100 possessions (20th in the league), while allowing 114.6 points per 100 possessions (11th in the NBA).

The Lakers have been slightly worse offensively at home, where they average 117.0 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 117.3 per game. Defensively, they are much better in home games, where they surrender 113.8 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to score 119.4 per game.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors’ +148 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 118.9 points per game (second in NBA) while allowing 117.1 per contest (21st in league).

The 44.6 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank eighth in the NBA, 1.3 more than the 43.3 its opponents grab.

The Warriors knock down 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than their opponents. They are shooting 38.5% from beyond the arc (second-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 36.4%.

The Warriors rank ninth in the league averaging 117.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 17th, allowing 115.2 points per 100 possessions.

Golden State averages 119.7 points per game at home, and 118.2 away.

Lakers Key Players to Watch

The Lakers active scoring leader is James, who averages 28.9 per contest to go with 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

D’Angelo Russell contributes with 17.8 points, 6.2 assists and 3.0 rebounds a game, and Anthony Davis adds 25.9 points, 2.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per contest.

The Lakers get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Malik Beasley.

Jarred Vanderbilt averages 1.1 steals per game, while Davis swats 2.0 shots per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Curry puts up 29.4 points per game. He also adds 6.1 rebounds per outing and 6.3 assists per contest.

This season, Kevon Looney has a statline that includes 7.0 points, 2.5 assists and 9.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson hits 4.4 threes per game.

The Warriors’ defensive efforts get a boost from Donte DiVincenzo (1.3 steals per game) and Draymond Green (0.8 blocks per game).