Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction: Picks & Betting Odds

The Denver Nuggets (53-29) take the court as 8-point favorites against the Miami Heat (44-38) on June 12, 2023. The game’s point total is 210.

Nuggets vs. Heat Odds

Nuggets odds to win: -340
Heat odds to win: +280
Spread: Nuggets (-8)
Total: 210

Nuggets vs. Heat Promo Codes

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Game Time and Information

When: Monday, June 12, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
TV: ABC

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Heat?

Nuggets and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 10-12-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 8 points or more.

When they have played as at least 8-point underdogs this year, the Heat are 1-1 against the spread.

These two teams average 225.3 points per game combined, 15.3 more than the over/under of 210.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.3 more points per game, 222.3, than this matchup’s total of 210 points.

The Nuggets’ average point total in matchups this season is 228.3, 18.3 points higher than the total in this game.

The average point total for Miami this season is 9.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Denver has gone 44-37-1 ATS this season.

The Heat have a 30-49-3 record against the spread this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game with a +273 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) and allow 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).

The 43.0 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank 18th in the league, and are 2.2 more than the 40.8 their opponents collect per contest.

Denver makes 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets rank fifth in the league by averaging 118.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 13th in the NBA, allowing 114.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Nuggets have been much better offensively at home, where they average 119.4 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 112.2 per game. Defensively, they are much better at home, where they surrender 109.6 points per game, versus road games, where they let opponents to score 115.3 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have a -26 scoring differential, putting up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) and giving up 109.8 (second in NBA).

Miami averages 40.6 rebounds per game (27th in league) while allowing 41.8 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.2 boards per game.

The Heat knock down 12.0 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), 1.1 fewer than their opponents.

The Heat score 113.9 points per 100 possessions (25th in league), while conceding 114.2 points per 100 possessions (eighth in NBA).

Miami is putting up more points at home (111.4 per game) than on the road (107.5).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic accumulates 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.

Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon has 0.8 blocks per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.4 points per game and 9.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.2 assists per contest this season.

Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds.

Tyler Herro knocks down 3.0 threes per game.

Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Heat’s defensive effort.