Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Predictions, Best Bets & Odds – Friday, October 27, 2023
The Denver Nuggets (1-0) are favored by 6 points against the Memphis Grizzlies (0-1) on Friday, October 27, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup airs on BSSE. The over/under in the matchup is 220.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
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Pick the Grizzlies (-6) to Cover
- Against the spread, the Nuggets were 44-37-1 last season.
- The Grizzlies had 37 wins in 82 games against the spread last year.
- As 6-point favorites or greater, the Nuggets went 18-15-1 against the spread last season.
- As a 6-point underdog or more, the Grizzlies had one win ATS (1-4) last season.
Take the Points Over (220)
- The Nuggets and their opponent combined to score over 220 points, the current matchup’s point total, in 60 of 82 games last season.
- A total of 59 Grizzlies games last season (out of 82) had more than 220 total points scored.
- The two teams averaged a combined 12.7 more points per game (232.7) a season ago than this game’s over/under of 220 points.
- The Nuggets and the Grizzlies saw their opponents average a combined 5.5 more points per game last season than the point total of 220 set for this matchup.
- The Nuggets’ average point total in outings last year was 228.3, 8.3 points higher than the over/under in this game.
- The average over/under for Grizzlies games in 2022 was 9.9 more points than the point total of 220 in this outing.
Moneyline Winner: Grizzlies (+180)
- The Nuggets put together a 43-18 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 70.5% of those games).
- The Grizzlies were underdogs in 18 games last season and won three (16.7%) of those contests.
- The Nuggets had a record of 26-7 when they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter (78.8%).
- Last season, the Grizzlies were at least a +180 underdog on the moneyline six times, losing each of those contests.
- The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.6% in this matchup.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.7% chance of a victory for the Grizzlies.
Top Nuggets Props
| Name | Points O/U | Rebounds O/U | Assists O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27.5 | 12.5 | 8.5 |
| Jamal Murray | 21.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 15.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| Aaron Gordon | 14.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Top Grizzlies Props
| Name | Points O/U | Rebounds O/U | Assists O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 18.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| Marcus Smart | 14.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| Ziaire Williams | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Xavier Tillman | 10.5 | 8.5 | 3.5 |
Best Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Promo Codes
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