Celtics vs. Heat Predictions, Best Bets & Odds – Friday, October 27, 2023
The Boston Celtics (1-0) are favored by 8.5 points against the Miami Heat (1-0) on Friday, October 27, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup airs on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under set at 217 points.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat
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Pick the Celtics (-8.5) to Cover
- The Celtics had 45 wins in 82 games against the spread last season.
- The Heat beat the spread 30 times in 82 games last year.
- As 8.5-point favorites or more, the Celtics went 16-14 against the spread last year.
- The Heat had one win ATS (1-1) as underdogs of 8.5 points or greater last season.
Take the Points Under (217)
- Last season, the Celtics games went over 217 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 62 (out of 82) times.
- A total of 47 Heat games last season (out of 82) went over 217 total points scored.
- The two teams averaged a combined 10.4 more points per game (227.4) a season ago than this matchup’s over/under of 217 points.
- Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 4.2 more points per game last season (221.2) than this game’s over/under of 217 points.
- The Celtics’ average point total in matchups last year was 229.4, 12.4 points higher than the over/under in this game.
- Heat games in 2022 averaged an over/under of 219.3 points, 2.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
Back the Celtics on the Moneyline (-345)
- The Celtics were favored on the moneyline 72 total times last season. They went 51-21 in those games.
- Last season, the Heat won seven out of the 23 games, or 30.4%, in which they were the underdog.
- When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -345 or shorter, the Celtics went 21-9 (70%).
- Last season, the Heat were at least a +275 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Celtics’ implied win probability is 77.5%.
- The Heat have a 26.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Top Celtics Props
| Name | Points O/U | Rebounds O/U | Assists O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 26.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 20.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 |
| Jaylen Brown | 19.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Jrue Holiday | 14.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| Derrick White | 10.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
Top Heat Props
| Name | Points O/U | Rebounds O/U | Assists O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 23.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Tyler Herro | 20.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 17.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 8.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
Best Celtics vs. Heat Promo Codes
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